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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · every number · star deck
In Lotto under the 6/50 + 1/25 · since Apr 2025 rules — 230 draws, 1 from 1–25.
Drawn 8 times in 230 draws against 9.2 expected, −0.40σ. Each draw is independent: after 64 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 8 times in 230 draws · average wait 18.9 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 64 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 7 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 24 of the other 24 numbers; chance expects about 24 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 7 is picked about 1.54× as often as an indifferent choice — 1st most popular of 25. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | 15 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-04-13 | 12 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-03-16 | 23 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-01-22 | 8 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-01-03 | 25 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-11-06 | 27 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-09-04 | 22 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-07-14 | — | 1st | 7 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 7 is drawn with probability 1/25 tonight whatever it did last week.