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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · every number · star deck
In Lotto under the 6/50 + 1/25 · since Apr 2025 rules — 230 draws, 1 from 1–25.
Drawn 4 times in 230 draws against 9.2 expected, −1.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 72 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 4 times in 230 draws · average wait 48.3 draws · longest completed wait 119 · waiting 72 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Too few completed waits to plot a distribution for this number alone.
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 24 of the other 24 numbers; chance expects about 24 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 25. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 119 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-07-26 | 18 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-06-14 | 8 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-05-26 | — | 1st | 1 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 1/25 tonight whatever it did last week.