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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · every number · star deck
In Lotto under the 6/50 + 1/25 · since Apr 2025 rules — 230 draws, 1 from 1–25.
Drawn 15 times in 230 draws against 9.2 expected, +1.95σ. Each draw is independent: after 86 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 15 times in 230 draws · average wait 9.7 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 86 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 24 of the other 24 numbers; chance expects about 24 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 14th most popular of 25. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | 1 | 1st | 16 |
| 2026-03-26 | 3 | 1st | 16 |
| 2026-03-19 | 6 | 1st | 16 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2 | 1st | 16 |
| 2026-02-28 | 15 | 1st | 16 |
| 2026-01-24 | 4 | 1st | 16 |
| 2026-01-15 | 12 | 1st | 16 |
| 2025-12-18 | 4 | 1st | 16 |
| 2025-12-08 | 1 | 1st | 16 |
| 2025-12-06 | 9 | 1st | 16 |
| 2025-11-15 | 25 | 1st | 16 |
| 2025-09-18 | 7 | 1st | 16 |
| 2025-09-01 | 22 | 1st | 16 |
| 2025-07-12 | 25 | 1st | 16 |
| 2025-05-15 | — | 1st | 16 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 1/25 tonight whatever it did last week.