Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · every number · star deck
In Lotto under the 6/50 + 1/25 · since Apr 2025 rules — 230 draws, 1 from 1–25.
Drawn 6 times in 230 draws against 9.2 expected, −1.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 81 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 6 times in 230 draws · average wait 22.6 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 81 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 24 of the other 24 numbers; chance expects about 24 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 25. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 13 | 1st | 10 |
| 2026-03-09 | 6 | 1st | 10 |
| 2026-02-23 | 24 | 1st | 10 |
| 2025-12-29 | 36 | 1st | 10 |
| 2025-10-06 | 34 | 1st | 10 |
| 2025-07-19 | — | 1st | 10 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 1/25 tonight whatever it did last week.