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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 September 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 7
  4. 15
  5. 16
  6. 17

Jackpot$3,950,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 1,046 of 1,616 under them

← 2021-09-02All recent draws2021-09-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 7 15 16 1729 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 1,045 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

11oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 11 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.

  • sum0th
  • odd79th
  • low99th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours95th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 121 of each

1109times
4110times
7124times
15114times
16

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-04

  • Lines in play≈ 357kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$176.1Kto 53k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 47.4%$13.1K
  • Match 319%$33.1K
  • Match 249%$85.9K
  • 6 other tiers25%$44K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

155times
17125times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,045 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 7, 15) with the draw of 12 April 2021 — its closest relative in 1,045 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

60

The numbers add up to 60 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 16–17. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$3,950,000
  • Match 59≈ 4.8 by chance$1,092
  • Match 4437≈ 272 by chance$30.00
  • Match 36,612≈ 5.3k by chance$5.00
  • Match 242,963≈ 43k by chance$2.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$27,300
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot1$750
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot57$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot384$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,128$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,087$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈357k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,612 winners, 24% more than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$3,950,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$27,300
    Match 59$1,092
    Match 4 + Extra Shot1$750
    Match 4437$30.00
    Match 3 + Extra Shot57$125
    Match 36,612$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot384$25.00
    Match 242,963$2.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,128$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,087$5.00
    Totals52,678—