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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 May 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 11
  4. 20
  5. 26
  6. 50

Jackpot$4,850,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 1,001 of 1,616 under them

← 2021-05-20All recent draws2021-05-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 11 20 26 5029 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 1,000 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd5th
  • low95th
  • widest gap90th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 115 of each

2121times
4103times
11134times
20115times
26

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-22

  • Lines in play≈ 391kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$193.1Kto 57k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 47.5%$14.4K
  • Match 318%$34K
  • Match 249%$93.9K
  • 6 other tiers26%$50.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

121times
50117times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,000 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 11, 20, 26) with the draw of 16 February 2017 — its closest relative in 1,000 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 May 2021): 11 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$4,850,000
  • Match 59≈ 5.3 by chance$1,221
  • Match 4389≈ 298 by chance$37.00
  • Match 36,808≈ 5.8k by chance$5.00
  • Match 246,961≈ 47k by chance$2.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$30,525
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot5$925
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot56$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot408$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,194$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,191$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈391k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,808 winners, 17% more than the 5.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,850,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$30,525
    Match 59$1,221
    Match 4 + Extra Shot5$925
    Match 4389$37.00
    Match 3 + Extra Shot56$125
    Match 36,808$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot408$25.00
    Match 246,961$2.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,194$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,191$5.00
    Totals57,021—