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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Monday, 4 January 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 35
  3. 40
  4. 44
  5. 45
  6. 49

Jackpot$3,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 942 of 1,616 under them

← 2021-01-02All recent draws2021-01-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 35 40 44 45 4929 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 941 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

29oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd79th
  • low5th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours72th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 109 of each

5104times
35101times
40104times
44109times
45

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 385kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$141.8Kto 55k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 412%$16.4K
  • Match 320%$28.1K
  • Match 233%$46.3K
  • 6 other tiers36%$50.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

106times
49122times

Every number was expected about that many times after 941 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 35, 45, 49) with the draw of 25 October 2018 — its closest relative in 941 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 52% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

218

The numbers add up to 218 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$3,200,000
  • Match 52≈ 5.2 by chance$5,964
  • Match 4276≈ 294 by chance$59.50
  • Match 35,620≈ 5.7k by chance$5.00
  • Match 246,328≈ 46k by chance$1.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$149,100
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot4$1,488
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot38$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot321$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,241$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,574$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈385k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,620 winners, 2% fewer than the 5.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$3,200,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$149,100
    Match 52$5,964
    Match 4 + Extra Shot4$1,488
    Match 4276$59.50
    Match 3 + Extra Shot38$125
    Match 35,620$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot321$25.00
    Match 246,328$1.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,241$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,574$5.00
    Totals55,404—