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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Thursday, 17 September 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 8
  3. 9
  4. 30
  5. 40
  6. 49

Jackpot$6,050,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 895 of 1,616 under them

← 2020-09-14All recent draws2020-09-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 8 9 30 40 4929 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 894 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum31th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours72th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each

599times
8100times
988times
30115times
40

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-17

  • Lines in play≈ 588kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$198.4Kto 84k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 411%$21.3K
  • Match 322%$44.5K
  • Match 236%$70.8K
  • 6 other tiers31%$61.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

101times
49114times

Every number was expected about that many times after 894 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 8, 40, 49) with the draw of 3 October 2016 — its closest relative in 894 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$6,050,000
  • Match 57≈ 8.0 by chance$2,199
  • Match 4454≈ 449 by chance$47.00
  • Match 38,909≈ 8.8k by chance$5.00
  • Match 270,753≈ 71k by chance$1.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0$54,975
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,175
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot60$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot476$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,611$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,704$5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈588k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,909 winners, 2% more than the 8.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$6,050,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$54,975
    Match 57$2,199
    Match 4 + Extra Shot2$1,175
    Match 4454$47.00
    Match 3 + Extra Shot60$125
    Match 38,909$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot476$25.00
    Match 270,753$1.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,611$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,704$5.00
    Totals83,976—