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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Monday, 16 July 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 15
  4. 25
  5. 28
  6. 38

Jackpot$7,750,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025draw 555 of 1,616 under them

← 2018-07-14All recent draws2018-07-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 15 25 28 3829 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 554 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap10th
  • neighbours72th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each

465times
561times
1563times
2551times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-16

  • Lines in play≈ 488kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$159.1Kto 69k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 411%$17.6K
  • Match 324%$37.9K
  • Match 237%$58.7K
  • 6 other tiers28%$44.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

60times
3867times

Every number was expected about that many times after 554 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 25, 28) with the draw of 6 March 2017 — its closest relative in 554 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2018): 5 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$7,750,000
  • Match 57≈ 6.6 by chance$1,817
  • Match 4424≈ 372 by chance$41.50
  • Match 37,588≈ 7.3k by chance$5.00
  • Match 258,704≈ 59k by chance$1.00
  • Match 4 + Extra Shot3$1,038
  • Match 3 + Extra Shot49$125
  • Match 2 + Extra Shot297$25.00
  • Match 1 + Extra Shot1,020$10.00
  • Match 0 + Extra Shot1,050$5.00
  • Match 5 + Extra Shot0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈488k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,588 winners, 4% more than the 7.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$7,750,000
    Match 5 + Extra Shot0$0.00
    Match 57$1,817
    Match 4 + Extra Shot3$1,038
    Match 4424$41.50
    Match 3 + Extra Shot49$125
    Match 37,588$5.00
    Match 2 + Extra Shot297$25.00
    Match 258,704$1.00
    Match 1 + Extra Shot1,020$10.00
    Match 0 + Extra Shot1,050$5.00
    Totals0—