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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Monday, 3 December 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 17
  3. 21
  4. 32
  5. 39
  6. 49
  7. 17

Jackpot$5,750,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015draw 15 of 339 under them

← 2012-12-01All recent draws2012-12-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 17 21 32 39 49 + 1729 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 14 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

12times
171time
211time
322times
392times
492times
Stars · a separate 1-of-25 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

170times

Every number was expected about that many times after 14 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 32, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 November 2012 — its closest relative in 14 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 December 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 63% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2012-12-03

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$114.3Kto 21k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 513%$15.2K
  • Match 422%$25.5K
  • Match 342%$48K
  • 5 other tiers22%$25.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.05 by chance$5,750,000
  2. Match 516≈ 15 by chance$953
  3. Match 4836≈ 852 by chance$30.50
  4. Match 316,003≈ 17k by chance$3.00
  5. Match 4 plus Extra Shot6$763
  6. Match 3 plus Extra Shot51$75.00
  7. Match 2 plus Extra Shot461$10.00
  8. Match 0 plus Extra Shot1,872$5.00
  9. Match 1 plus Extra Shot1,567$2.00
  10. Match 5 plus Extra Shot0no winners
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 16,003 winners, 4% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 60$5,750,000
Match 5 plus Extra Shot0$0.00
Match 516$953
Match 4 plus Extra Shot6$763
Match 4836$30.50
Match 3 plus Extra Shot51$75.00
Match 316,003$3.00
Match 2 plus Extra Shot461$10.00
Match 1 plus Extra Shot1,567$2.00
Match 0 plus Extra Shot1,872$5.00