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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 December 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 30
  2. 37
  3. 41
  4. 42
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 9

Jackpot$5,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015draw 14 of 339 under them

← 2012-11-28All recent draws2012-12-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:44 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed30 37 41 42 44 45 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:30 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 13 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd50th
  • low1th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours95th
  • spread0th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

302times
371time
410times
421time
442times
452times
Stars · a separate 1-of-25 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

91time

Every number was expected about that many times after 13 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (30, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 November 2012 — its closest relative in 13 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 November 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

239

The numbers add up to 239 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42, 44–45. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 80% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2012-12-01

  • Lines in play≈ 1.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$156Kto 28k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 515%$22.6K
  • Match 424%$38K
  • Match 342%$65.1K
  • 5 other tiers19%$30.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.07 by chance$5,500,000
  2. Match 519≈ 21 by chance$1,191
  3. Match 41,187≈ 1.2k by chance$32.00
  4. Match 321,691≈ 23k by chance$3.00
  5. Match 4 plus Extra Shot5$800
  6. Match 3 plus Extra Shot62$75.00
  7. Match 2 plus Extra Shot548$10.00
  8. Match 0 plus Extra Shot2,447$5.00
  9. Match 1 plus Extra Shot1,973$2.00
  10. Match 5 plus Extra Shot0no winners
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈1.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 21,691 winners, 4% fewer than the 23k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 60$5,500,000
Match 5 plus Extra Shot0$0.00
Match 519$1,191
Match 4 plus Extra Shot5$800
Match 41,187$32.00
Match 3 plus Extra Shot62$75.00
Match 321,691$3.00
Match 2 plus Extra Shot548$10.00
Match 1 plus Extra Shot1,973$2.00
Match 0 plus Extra Shot2,447$5.00