Number 4

In Idaho Cash under the 5/45 · since Mar 2017 rules — 2,025 draws, 5 from 1–45.

218times drawn · chance expected 225 −0.49σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 55% for any number

9.2average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

55longest completed wait · 31% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 218 times in 2,025 draws against 225.0 expected, −0.49σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 218 times in 2,025 draws · average wait 9.2 draws · longest completed wait 55 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest163 · chance 162.6
2nd smallest48 · chance 51.4
3rd smallest7 · chance 4.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 19.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

22 7 38 42 12 24

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-05	5	2nd	3 4 8 9 36
2026-09-30	2	1st	4 7 9 15 34
2026-09-28	3	1st	4 7 9 30 32
2026-09-25	6	1st	4 19 22 27 45
2026-09-19	15	1st	4 18 26 33 40
2026-09-04	11	1st	4 15 22 38 43
2026-08-24	8	1st	4 11 21 40 44
2026-08-16	20	2nd	2 4 28 30 43
2026-07-27	21	1st	4 7 8 29 34
2026-07-06	10	1st	4 5 9 22 44
2026-06-26	1	1st	4 23 24 38 39
2026-06-25	12	2nd	3 4 9 18 20
2026-06-13	12	1st	4 22 30 38 41
2026-06-01	8	2nd	3 4 19 28 38
2026-05-24	7	2nd	3 4 9 16 41
2026-05-17	15	1st	4 25 34 41 43
2026-05-02	4	1st	4 18 25 30 45
2026-04-28	6	1st	4 5 16 18 28
2026-04-22	18	1st	4 13 20 30 42
2026-04-04	3	1st	4 7 24 30 43
2026-04-01	6	1st	4 7 8 18 26
2026-03-26	2	1st	4 6 7 21 42
2026-03-24	9	1st	4 13 23 28 45
2026-03-15	17	2nd	2 4 33 35 44

The other 194 appearances

2026-02-26	2	1st	4 21 25 30 34
2026-02-24	5	1st	4 13 24 33 43
2026-02-19	1	2nd	1 4 21 31 43
2026-02-18	7	3rd	1 2 4 25 30
2026-02-11	1	1st	4 6 30 31 40
2026-02-10	4	1st	4 7 9 25 29
2026-02-06	2	2nd	2 4 15 26 41
2026-02-04	1	1st	4 5 16 26 37
2026-02-03	3	1st	4 7 14 34 42
2026-01-31	10	2nd	2 4 13 15 44
2026-01-21	6	2nd	1 4 11 22 42
2026-01-15	1	2nd	1 4 22 28 39
2026-01-14	12	1st	4 7 23 24 33
2026-01-02	1	1st	4 19 24 38 43
2026-01-01	23	2nd	1 4 7 35 45
2025-12-09	4	1st	4 12 24 28 45
2025-12-05	6	1st	4 11 12 26 39
2025-11-28	7	2nd	1 4 6 10 42
2025-11-21	1	1st	4 16 30 34 35
2025-11-20	10	1st	4 6 23 27 37
2025-11-10	2	1st	4 5 8 25 28
2025-11-08	5	1st	4 11 12 29 39
2025-11-03	2	1st	4 9 10 32 34
2025-11-01	7	1st	4 7 12 38 44
2025-10-25	2	1st	4 19 22 37 42
2025-10-23	18	1st	4 5 10 23 39
2025-10-04	8	1st	4 7 10 38 39
2025-09-26	9	1st	4 12 21 37 38
2025-09-17	2	1st	4 30 40 43 45
2025-09-15	1	1st	4 15 29 38 44
2025-09-14	4	1st	4 36 38 39 43
2025-09-10	7	2nd	3 4 5 20 25
2025-09-03	1	2nd	1 4 37 38 41
2025-09-02	7	1st	4 10 23 25 40
2025-08-26	47	1st	4 11 12 31 43
2025-07-10	2	1st	4 9 11 13 32
2025-07-08	6	2nd	1 4 13 18 36
2025-07-02	8	3rd	1 2 4 17 34
2025-06-24	13	2nd	2 4 26 31 36
2025-06-11	6	1st	4 17 24 25 41
2025-06-05	4	1st	4 7 22 26 43
2025-06-01	7	1st	4 25 32 35 42
2025-05-25	1	2nd	1 4 8 18 37
2025-05-24	6	3rd	2 3 4 23 40
2025-05-18	6	1st	4 11 12 14 41
2025-05-12	2	1st	4 18 23 29 37
2025-05-10	12	1st	4 11 14 28 38
2025-04-28	15	1st	4 9 11 17 31
2025-04-13	9	1st	4 11 14 17 22
2025-04-04	3	1st	4 10 24 35 42
2025-04-01	6	1st	4 21 28 32 37
2025-03-26	15	1st	4 31 37 41 42
2025-03-11	4	2nd	3 4 6 27 43
2025-03-07	7	1st	4 5 19 31 38
2025-02-28	22	1st	4 6 21 27 42
2025-02-06	3	1st	4 14 21 33 42
2025-02-03	6	1st	4 9 19 22 36
2025-01-28	21	1st	4 6 7 19 43
2025-01-07	6	1st	4 18 22 26 45
2025-01-01	1	2nd	1 4 7 23 38
2024-12-31	16	1st	4 5 7 8 23
2024-12-15	8	1st	4 8 11 17 44
2024-12-07	2	1st	4 13 29 35 45
2024-12-05	6	1st	4 20 21 33 40
2024-11-29	3	1st	4 7 24 42 44
2024-11-26	26	1st	4 21 23 29 32
2024-10-31	9	1st	4 22 28 39 43
2024-10-22	8	2nd	3 4 15 22 35
2024-10-14	14	1st	4 11 15 26 32
2024-09-30	8	2nd	3 4 10 12 32
2024-09-22	1	3rd	2 3 4 24 28
2024-09-21	1	1st	4 15 18 35 42
2024-09-20	10	1st	4 7 8 36 38
2024-09-10	6	1st	4 11 26 41 45
2024-09-04	3	1st	4 7 8 16 40
2024-09-01	16	2nd	1 4 21 39 44
2024-08-16	13	1st	4 11 21 31 42
2024-08-03	8	2nd	2 4 6 15 34
2024-07-26	3	1st	4 16 26 34 35
2024-07-23	16	1st	4 12 25 34 36
2024-07-07	8	1st	4 6 10 27 45
2024-06-29	12	1st	4 20 41 42 44
2024-06-17	3	1st	4 11 31 34 45
2024-06-14	1	1st	4 5 6 7 10
2024-06-13	21	1st	4 8 23 27 41
2024-05-23	6	1st	4 12 36 44 45
2024-05-17	8	1st	4 13 28 32 45
2024-05-09	3	2nd	1 4 25 36 43
2024-05-06	5	1st	4 10 11 17 31
2024-05-01	21	1st	4 11 17 36 44
2024-04-10	14	1st	4 12 14 33 34
2024-03-27	5	2nd	2 4 7 37 42
2024-03-22	1	1st	4 20 26 28 29
2024-03-21	2	1st	4 9 22 24 39
2024-03-19	10	2nd	2 4 17 22 34
2024-03-09	21	1st	4 12 13 28 40
2024-02-17	1	1st	4 5 12 21 45
2024-02-16	6	1st	4 18 21 24 35
2024-02-10	3	2nd	2 4 8 24 42
2024-02-07	15	1st	4 7 29 39 45
2024-01-23	4	1st	4 16 21 27 35
2024-01-19	4	1st	4 12 18 38 39
2024-01-15	9	2nd	1 4 30 33 44
2024-01-06	3	1st	4 16 33 34 40
2024-01-03	7	1st	4 5 9 12 38
2023-12-27	8	1st	4 5 27 30 34
2023-12-19	11	1st	4 5 22 31 33
2023-12-08	13	1st	4 13 22 24 38
2023-11-25	3	1st	4 5 20 34 39
2023-11-22	14	1st	4 16 22 23 31
2023-11-08	6	1st	4 6 10 24 42
2023-11-02	2	2nd	2 4 8 26 34
2023-10-31	2	2nd	3 4 8 12 14
2023-10-29	3	1st	4 6 19 36 43
2023-10-26	14	2nd	1 4 28 31 40
2023-10-12	10	1st	4 25 37 40 42
2023-10-02	9	1st	4 15 19 31 40
2023-09-23	10	1st	4 6 10 44 45
2023-09-13	3	1st	4 5 12 30 44
2023-09-10	1	2nd	2 4 8 20 32
2023-09-09	22	1st	4 8 12 24 29
2023-08-18	4	1st	4 11 26 34 39
2023-08-14	16	1st	4 7 21 25 39
2023-07-29	4	1st	4 8 19 38 44
2023-07-25	22	2nd	3 4 17 22 27
2023-07-03	4	1st	4 15 18 35 42
2023-06-29	12	3rd	2 3 4 41 42
2023-06-17	5	1st	4 7 17 27 32
2023-06-12	10	2nd	3 4 17 22 31
2023-06-02	5	1st	4 12 13 17 41
2023-05-28	12	1st	4 30 35 37 38
2023-05-16	4	2nd	2 4 15 17 31
2023-05-12	36	2nd	3 4 17 21 30
2023-04-06	7	3rd	1 2 4 12 15
2023-03-30	8	1st	4 23 31 32 33
2023-03-22	12	1st	4 23 30 34 38
2023-03-10	6	2nd	3 4 23 26 27
2023-03-04	9	1st	4 11 22 31 32
2023-02-23	12	1st	4 24 28 32 36
2023-02-11	11	2nd	3 4 6 26 41
2023-01-31	11	2nd	3 4 16 20 27
2023-01-20	23	3rd	1 2 4 7 22
2022-12-28	2	1st	4 8 31 32 42
2022-12-26	37	1st	4 13 16 33 39
2022-11-19	11	1st	4 10 25 39 40
2022-11-08	16	1st	4 21 22 24 39
2022-09-17	39	1st	4 10 22 28 30
2022-05-04	4	1st	4 7 18 28 38
2022-04-20	12	1st	4 7 12 40 44
2022-03-09	7	1st	4 11 12 21 26
2022-02-12	17	1st	4 9 20 26 41
2021-12-15	6	1st	4 6 19 20 24
2021-11-24	2	1st	4 17 22 39 40
2021-11-17	16	1st	4 22 24 26 39
2021-09-22	9	1st	4 10 17 20 33
2021-08-21	4	1st	4 28 37 42 43
2021-08-07	18	1st	4 5 6 11 42
2021-06-05	1	2nd	1 4 11 19 43
2021-06-02	28	1st	4 19 26 30 40
2021-02-24	24	2nd	2 4 21 29 39
2020-12-02	2	1st	4 7 11 23 44
2020-11-25	12	1st	4 12 29 36 43
2020-10-14	9	1st	4 36 38 40 45
2020-09-12	14	1st	4 19 24 30 37
2020-07-25	6	1st	4 6 16 19 27
2020-07-04	4	1st	4 13 32 35 42
2020-06-20	1	1st	4 8 14 18 42
2020-06-17	4	1st	4 5 24 29 30
2020-06-03	7	1st	4 15 21 34 40
2020-05-09	55	1st	4 8 27 35 45
2019-10-30	4	2nd	1 4 12 20 28
2019-10-16	11	2nd	3 4 13 26 38
2019-09-07	9	1st	4 10 12 19 42
2019-08-07	24	1st	4 15 17 22 31
2019-05-15	6	1st	4 20 22 29 39
2019-04-24	5	1st	4 23 35 38 45
2019-04-06	7	1st	4 10 21 33 43
2019-03-13	9	1st	4 8 25 38 39
2019-02-09	2	1st	4 13 24 32 36
2019-02-02	12	1st	4 5 12 24 36
2018-12-22	37	1st	4 8 16 30 38
2018-08-15	12	2nd	2 4 5 16 40
2018-07-04	24	1st	4 8 14 36 37
2018-04-11	2	1st	4 20 27 30 43
2018-04-04	5	1st	4 10 16 22 41
2018-03-17	11	1st	4 8 18 21 37
2018-02-07	18	1st	4 25 26 31 37
2017-12-06	3	1st	4 6 24 33 37
2017-11-25	14	1st	4 17 25 27 41
2017-10-07	26	2nd	3 4 29 36 40
2017-07-08	2	1st	4 12 15 34 40
2017-07-01	3	2nd	2 4 13 14 28
2017-06-21	11	2nd	2 4 10 21 38
2017-05-13	—	1st	4 19 22 39 42

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Idaho Cash · every number