Number 17

In Fantasy 5 under the 5/39 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 rules — 2,098 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

270times drawn · chance expected 269 +0.07σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

7.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

54longest completed wait · 17% chance of one at least that long

17 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 270 times in 2,098 draws against 269.0 expected, +0.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 17, draw by draw

Drawn 270 times in 2,098 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 54 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 17 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest25 · chance 26.8
2nd smallest86 · chance 90.1
3rd smallest104 · chance 101.4
4th smallest50 · chance 45.1
5th smallest5 · chance 6.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 28.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

28 31 9 4 15 10

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 17 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 17 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2015-10-02	1	3rd	13 16 17 23 39
2015-10-01	24	2nd	4 17 29 30 35
2015-09-07	3	2nd	9 17 21 31 32
2015-09-04	6	1st	17 20 30 36 38
2015-08-29	6	2nd	7 17 23 25 27
2015-08-23	6	4th	9 13 15 17 30
2015-08-17	9	3rd	8 14 17 20 36
2015-08-08	3	2nd	7 17 25 26 33
2015-08-05	1	4th	1 3 11 17 33
2015-08-04	7	3rd	7 9 17 36 37
2015-07-28	4	1st	17 25 32 33 34
2015-07-24	6	3rd	14 15 17 27 32
2015-07-18	11	3rd	12 14 17 19 20
2015-07-07	5	4th	5 6 13 17 26
2015-07-02	1	3rd	6 11 17 35 36
2015-07-01	11	1st	17 20 22 32 36
2015-06-20	1	3rd	3 8 17 22 28
2015-06-19	2	4th	3 12 14 17 22
2015-06-17	2	2nd	13 17 19 21 31
2015-06-15	17	4th	2 13 16 17 27
2015-05-29	4	2nd	14 17 19 30 36
2015-05-25	8	4th	9 10 11 17 21
2015-05-17	4	1st	17 19 29 33 39
2015-05-13	7	3rd	6 16 17 21 32

The other 246 appearances

2015-05-06	4	4th	2 4 16 17 24
2015-05-02	12	1st	17 20 26 33 39
2015-04-20	9	4th	2 4 12 17 34
2015-04-11	10	4th	5 7 11 17 28
2015-04-01	5	2nd	2 17 23 29 39
2015-03-27	8	3rd	3 6 17 32 36
2015-03-19	10	3rd	1 15 17 31 37
2015-03-09	5	2nd	6 17 25 26 36
2015-03-04	3	1st	17 19 30 31 38
2015-03-01	16	2nd	14 17 21 23 32
2015-02-13	6	3rd	8 10 17 30 38
2015-02-07	8	2nd	9 17 24 28 38
2015-01-30	23	4th	1 4 10 17 28
2015-01-07	16	3rd	10 12 17 28 39
2014-12-22	5	4th	5 6 7 17 28
2014-12-17	2	2nd	3 17 19 25 36
2014-12-15	1	2nd	4 17 21 24 34
2014-12-14	11	1st	17 26 33 34 37
2014-12-03	11	3rd	6 13 17 23 35
2014-11-22	7	3rd	12 14 17 27 31
2014-11-15	30	2nd	10 17 18 38 39
2014-10-16	7	3rd	1 10 17 37 39
2014-10-09	14	3rd	4 10 17 23 33
2014-09-25	4	3rd	3 8 17 25 26
2014-09-21	19	3rd	7 12 17 23 27
2014-09-02	2	2nd	5 17 21 28 39
2014-08-31	6	1st	17 20 26 31 37
2014-08-25	7	4th	11 12 15 17 38
2014-08-18	1	2nd	2 17 31 35 39
2014-08-17	3	3rd	2 9 17 25 30
2014-08-14	12	2nd	4 17 18 28 39
2014-08-02	6	3rd	3 4 17 24 29
2014-07-27	10	3rd	8 13 17 24 37
2014-07-17	8	2nd	15 17 26 27 39
2014-07-09	2	3rd	3 7 17 28 29
2014-07-07	2	2nd	15 17 24 36 39
2014-07-05	3	4th	2 10 15 17 28
2014-07-02	4	2nd	13 17 21 23 31
2014-06-28	11	5th	3 8 13 15 17
2014-06-17	3	4th	3 13 15 17 39
2014-06-14	8	3rd	4 15 17 18 20
2014-06-06	3	2nd	11 17 23 31 34
2014-06-03	21	3rd	1 10 17 21 33
2014-05-13	4	3rd	1 5 17 30 38
2014-05-09	13	3rd	1 16 17 19 31
2014-04-26	1	3rd	9 15 17 25 38
2014-04-25	18	3rd	6 13 17 21 28
2014-04-07	2	3rd	9 12 17 21 28
2014-04-05	8	3rd	1 7 17 35 39
2014-03-28	4	2nd	3 17 18 23 34
2014-03-24	15	2nd	16 17 27 30 31
2014-03-09	16	3rd	9 13 17 22 24
2014-02-21	1	3rd	8 14 17 22 37
2014-02-20	6	2nd	13 17 18 20 24
2014-02-14	6	3rd	2 5 17 27 28
2014-02-08	1	3rd	9 13 17 25 29
2014-02-07	3	3rd	9 10 17 24 34
2014-02-04	25	3rd	2 9 17 24 36
2014-01-10	12	2nd	8 17 25 28 35
2013-12-29	1	2nd	14 17 18 37 39
2013-12-28	10	3rd	15 16 17 26 37
2013-12-18	3	2nd	4 17 18 20 36
2013-12-15	2	2nd	1 17 18 33 38
2013-12-13	7	2nd	10 17 21 25 30
2013-12-06	11	2nd	11 17 30 34 38
2013-11-25	4	1st	17 21 26 27 30
2013-11-21	9	3rd	4 16 17 28 31
2013-11-12	4	1st	17 19 25 32 37
2013-11-08	5	4th	4 13 14 17 20
2013-11-03	13	4th	3 9 14 17 35
2013-10-21	4	4th	3 5 15 17 29
2013-10-17	5	2nd	8 17 20 32 35
2013-10-12	4	3rd	9 10 17 25 33
2013-10-08	1	3rd	1 4 17 31 33
2013-10-07	5	2nd	11 17 20 37 38
2013-10-02	5	2nd	16 17 27 31 38
2013-09-27	8	2nd	16 17 23 29 33
2013-09-19	14	2nd	12 17 27 34 36
2013-09-05	3	3rd	8 12 17 19 26
2013-09-02	21	4th	6 10 14 17 32
2013-08-12	1	3rd	8 12 17 20 38
2013-08-11	12	4th	7 12 14 17 29
2013-07-30	3	3rd	14 15 17 22 30
2013-07-27	14	2nd	8 17 29 32 38
2013-07-13	1	2nd	4 17 19 22 26
2013-07-12	2	4th	9 10 15 17 22
2013-07-10	3	4th	5 7 8 17 32
2013-07-07	1	3rd	2 3 17 27 28
2013-07-06	15	3rd	9 12 17 18 31
2013-06-21	17	1st	17 29 30 32 34
2013-06-04	3	2nd	4 17 21 22 31
2013-06-01	4	1st	17 18 21 26 33
2013-05-28	4	3rd	7 13 17 24 37
2013-05-24	2	2nd	9 17 21 23 31
2013-05-22	3	2nd	14 17 20 25 26
2013-05-19	10	2nd	15 17 18 28 35
2013-05-09	8	2nd	13 17 19 20 35
2013-05-01	4	3rd	1 7 17 28 31
2013-04-27	16	3rd	11 12 17 20 26
2013-04-11	9	3rd	4 5 17 23 29
2013-04-02	10	4th	1 6 10 17 39
2013-03-23	5	3rd	2 3 17 28 38
2013-03-18	4	3rd	2 4 17 22 34
2013-03-14	13	2nd	9 17 24 33 38
2013-03-01	4	4th	5 6 14 17 30
2013-02-25	14	3rd	1 8 17 28 29
2013-02-11	14	1st	17 18 23 26 36
2013-01-28	6	2nd	7 17 24 35 39
2013-01-22	7	3rd	3 15 17 21 29
2013-01-15	11	4th	3 10 15 17 37
2013-01-04	4	1st	17 23 28 34 39
2012-12-31	14	1st	17 24 34 36 38
2012-12-17	10	3rd	4 11 17 22 30
2012-12-07	17	2nd	15 17 22 27 36
2012-11-20	8	1st	17 20 28 34 35
2012-11-12	8	3rd	11 12 17 25 37
2012-11-04	24	4th	1 6 13 17 31
2012-10-11	6	3rd	2 5 17 32 39
2012-10-05	15	3rd	2 5 17 19 36
2012-09-20	2	2nd	13 17 18 19 37
2012-09-18	7	3rd	4 16 17 35 38
2012-09-11	6	3rd	11 13 17 35 36
2012-09-05	2	3rd	1 16 17 19 32
2012-09-03	1	1st	17 19 24 34 36
2012-09-02	12	3rd	9 10 17 20 32
2012-08-21	1	3rd	8 9 17 25 34
2012-08-20	34	4th	5 8 9 17 24
2012-07-17	8	4th	2 9 13 17 24
2012-07-09	3	4th	12 14 16 17 33
2012-07-06	14	3rd	6 14 17 18 31
2012-06-22	16	3rd	10 13 17 18 30
2012-06-06	1	2nd	9 17 19 32 37
2012-06-05	2	2nd	2 17 25 27 30
2012-06-03	13	3rd	2 5 17 19 30
2012-05-21	4	4th	2 8 15 17 23
2012-05-17	14	3rd	2 14 17 26 31
2012-05-03	2	4th	1 5 14 17 39
2012-05-01	3	3rd	11 12 17 28 35
2012-04-28	5	1st	17 25 31 37 38
2012-04-23	17	3rd	4 6 17 35 38
2012-04-06	10	2nd	16 17 22 23 39
2012-03-27	6	3rd	4 14 17 27 34
2012-03-21	4	2nd	10 17 22 23 28
2012-03-17	13	2nd	11 17 18 24 36
2012-03-04	3	3rd	6 8 17 22 29
2012-03-01	4	2nd	10 17 19 23 35
2012-02-26	5	1st	17 18 22 23 28
2012-02-21	1	4th	11 12 15 17 27
2012-02-20	2	2nd	4 17 23 31 39
2012-02-18	7	3rd	5 14 17 26 36
2012-02-11	1	4th	5 6 16 17 29
2012-02-10	2	3rd	3 6 17 23 35
2012-02-08	15	4th	10 11 16 17 33
2012-01-24	6	4th	4 14 15 17 33
2012-01-18	8	2nd	8 17 29 33 35
2012-01-10	5	1st	17 18 23 25 32
2012-01-05	1	3rd	4 12 17 23 34
2012-01-04	1	2nd	15 17 18 19 29
2012-01-03	1	2nd	5 17 19 26 31
2012-01-02	2	3rd	6 10 17 36 38
2011-12-31	1	4th	5 6 9 17 37
2011-12-30	11	2nd	1 17 25 27 39
2011-12-19	3	2nd	11 17 21 24 33
2011-12-16	4	4th	4 11 12 17 35
2011-12-12	14	2nd	14 17 20 26 35
2011-11-28	5	5th	2 10 11 14 17
2011-11-23	4	2nd	7 17 23 25 36
2011-11-19	3	4th	2 6 10 17 35
2011-11-16	3	3rd	6 9 17 20 27
2011-11-13	1	2nd	6 17 27 32 33
2011-11-12	10	3rd	8 9 17 19 35
2011-11-02	5	1st	17 20 26 34 37
2011-10-28	9	3rd	4 9 17 29 38
2011-10-19	2	3rd	7 10 17 21 32
2011-10-17	14	2nd	8 17 19 25 34
2011-10-03	12	3rd	11 12 17 32 37
2011-09-21	5	3rd	13 15 17 18 28
2011-09-16	14	5th	3 11 13 14 17
2011-09-02	5	3rd	6 9 17 35 38
2011-08-28	1	2nd	8 17 19 31 34
2011-08-26	5	1st	17 24 27 34 36
2011-08-21	14	2nd	15 17 25 26 29
2011-08-05	10	2nd	11 17 22 34 39
2011-07-26	6	3rd	11 12 17 23 35
2011-07-20	17	2nd	2 17 32 34 37
2011-07-03	3	4th	1 4 9 17 19
2011-06-30	11	4th	5 14 15 17 30
2011-06-19	5	1st	17 18 20 21 31
2011-06-14	8	2nd	15 17 21 30 31
2011-06-06	2	3rd	4 12 17 18 31
2011-06-04	8	3rd	11 14 17 34 39
2011-05-27	5	3rd	5 10 17 21 36
2011-05-22	4	2nd	11 17 19 25 28
2011-05-18	4	3rd	5 12 17 29 33
2011-05-14	10	3rd	7 13 17 20 33
2011-05-04	2	2nd	3 17 20 31 33
2011-05-02	11	3rd	1 5 17 24 32
2011-04-21	5	2nd	7 17 18 26 33
2011-04-15	1	3rd	9 10 17 23 36
2011-04-14	1	3rd	1 2 17 25 39
2011-04-13	1	1st	17 19 22 23 32
2011-04-12	7	3rd	2 10 17 20 27
2011-04-05	1	2nd	1 17 20 24 27
2011-04-04	16	3rd	5 11 17 26 34
2011-03-19	2	4th	4 5 15 17 30
2011-03-17	2	2nd	6 17 18 23 24
2011-03-15	7	3rd	3 4 17 18 31
2011-03-08	5	3rd	9 10 17 28 38
2011-03-03	14	4th	2 4 10 17 22
2011-02-17	15	2nd	2 17 33 36 38
2011-02-02	9	2nd	6 17 23 25 33
2011-01-24	4	2nd	7 17 30 33 36
2011-01-20	13	3rd	6 8 17 20 24
2011-01-07	4	4th	3 8 9 17 24
2011-01-03	13	2nd	10 17 18 22 25
2010-12-21	3	3rd	11 15 17 28 39
2010-12-18	29	4th	3 8 9 17 24
2010-11-19	7	2nd	7 17 30 31 34
2010-11-12	2	2nd	8 17 26 28 36
2010-11-10	54	4th	13 14 16 17 21
2010-09-17	9	5th	2 11 15 16 17
2010-09-08	15	2nd	6 17 27 28 37
2010-08-24	43	5th	3 6 12 14 17
2010-07-12	13	4th	3 5 12 17 31
2010-06-29	1	2nd	6 17 20 25 37
2010-06-28	1	2nd	4 17 22 26 33
2010-06-27	1	4th	3 5 8 17 34
2010-06-26	8	3rd	7 11 17 20 37
2010-06-18	2	2nd	4 17 18 31 38
2010-06-16	4	2nd	15 17 33 35 39
2010-06-12	5	3rd	3 11 17 30 31
2010-06-07	7	4th	6 12 15 17 25
2010-05-31	5	3rd	3 14 17 23 28
2010-05-26	9	2nd	10 17 18 33 38
2010-05-17	17	1st	17 24 26 28 38
2010-04-30	24	4th	1 11 16 17 25
2010-04-06	5	4th	1 9 12 17 32
2010-04-01	10	2nd	2 17 18 31 32
2010-03-22	5	3rd	5 12 17 28 32
2010-03-17	6	4th	2 3 15 17 20
2010-03-11	7	3rd	1 11 17 30 31
2010-03-04	20	3rd	13 15 17 23 33
2010-02-12	7	3rd	9 10 17 26 28
2010-02-05	11	2nd	14 17 29 33 35
2010-01-25	3	3rd	4 14 17 26 38
2010-01-22	—	2nd	2 17 23 27 28

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 17 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Fantasy 5 · every number