Cash Pop · every number
4
Number 4 In Cash Pop under the 1/15 · since Apr 2022 rules — 1,230 draws, 1 from 1–15.
75 times drawn · chance expected 82 −0.80σ
7 draws waiting · a wait this long: 66% for any number
15.9 average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
58 longest completed wait · 77% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 75 times in 1,230 draws against 82.0 expected, −0.80σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4 Number 4, draw by draw Drawn 75 times in 1,230 draws · average wait 15.9 draws · longest completed wait 58 · waiting 7 draws now
6 draws: 2022-06-07 to 2022-06-13 18 draws: 2022-06-13 to 2022-07-01 12 draws: 2022-07-01 to 2022-07-13 12 draws: 2022-07-13 to 2022-07-25 11 draws: 2022-07-25 to 2022-08-05 58 draws: 2022-08-05 to 2022-10-02 3 draws: 2022-10-02 to 2022-10-05 3 draws: 2022-10-05 to 2022-10-08 9 draws: 2022-10-08 to 2022-10-17 3 draws: 2022-10-17 to 2022-10-20 7 draws: 2022-10-20 to 2022-10-27 13 draws: 2022-10-27 to 2022-11-09 23 draws: 2022-11-09 to 2022-12-02 3 draws: 2022-12-02 to 2022-12-05 2 draws: 2022-12-05 to 2022-12-07 5 draws: 2022-12-07 to 2022-12-12 4 draws: 2022-12-12 to 2022-12-16 21 draws: 2022-12-16 to 2023-01-06 33 draws: 2023-01-06 to 2023-02-08 3 draws: 2023-02-08 to 2023-02-11 5 draws: 2023-02-11 to 2023-02-16 6 draws: 2023-02-16 to 2023-02-22 8 draws: 2023-02-22 to 2023-03-02 4 draws: 2023-03-02 to 2023-03-06 32 draws: 2023-03-06 to 2023-04-07 7 draws: 2023-04-07 to 2023-04-14 32 draws: 2023-04-14 to 2023-05-16 40 draws: 2023-05-16 to 2023-06-25 2 draws: 2023-06-25 to 2023-06-27 15 draws: 2023-06-27 to 2023-07-12 6 draws: 2023-07-12 to 2023-07-18 2 draws: 2023-07-18 to 2023-07-20 43 draws: 2023-07-20 to 2023-09-01 38 draws: 2023-09-01 to 2023-10-09 36 draws: 2023-10-09 to 2023-11-14 13 draws: 2023-11-14 to 2023-11-27 3 draws: 2023-11-27 to 2023-11-30 31 draws: 2023-11-30 to 2023-12-31 8 draws: 2023-12-31 to 2024-01-08 32 draws: 2024-01-08 to 2024-02-09 27 draws: 2024-02-09 to 2024-03-07 43 draws: 2024-03-07 to 2024-04-19 5 draws: 2024-04-19 to 2024-04-24 17 draws: 2024-04-24 to 2024-05-11 8 draws: 2024-05-11 to 2024-05-19 7 draws: 2024-05-19 to 2024-05-26 6 draws: 2024-05-26 to 2024-06-01 16 draws: 2024-06-01 to 2024-06-17 34 draws: 2024-06-17 to 2024-07-21 12 draws: 2024-07-21 to 2024-08-02 18 draws: 2024-08-02 to 2024-08-20 7 draws: 2024-08-20 to 2024-08-27 19 draws: 2024-08-27 to 2024-09-15 16 draws: 2024-09-15 to 2024-10-01 20 draws: 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-21 7 draws: 2024-10-21 to 2024-10-28 25 draws: 2024-10-28 to 2024-11-22 20 draws: 2024-11-22 to 2024-12-12 24 draws: 2024-12-12 to 2025-09-27 3 draws: 2025-09-27 to 2025-09-30 5 draws: 2025-09-30 to 2025-10-05 15 draws: 2025-10-05 to 2025-10-20 16 draws: 2025-10-20 to 2025-11-05 54 draws: 2025-11-05 to 2025-12-29 7 draws: 2025-12-29 to 2026-05-21 17 draws: 2026-05-21 to 2026-06-07 18 draws: 2026-06-07 to 2026-06-25 6 draws: 2026-06-25 to 2026-07-01 13 draws: 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-14 36 draws: 2026-07-14 to 2026-08-19 15 draws: 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-03 22 draws: 2026-09-03 to 2026-09-25 3 draws: 2026-09-25 to 2026-09-28 6 draws: 2026-09-28 to 2026-10-04 Still waiting — at least 7 draws since 2026-10-04 2022-06-07 2022-06-13 2022-07-01 2022-07-13 2022-07-25 2022-08-05 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 2022-10-08 2022-10-17 2022-10-20 2022-10-27 2022-11-09 2022-12-02 2022-12-05 2022-12-07 2022-12-12 2022-12-16 2023-01-06 2023-02-08 2023-02-11 2023-02-16 2023-02-22 2023-03-02 2023-03-06 2023-04-07 2023-04-14 2023-05-16 2023-06-25 2023-06-27 2023-07-12 2023-07-18 2023-07-20 2023-09-01 2023-10-09 2023-11-14 2023-11-27 2023-11-30 2023-12-31 2024-01-08 2024-02-09 2024-03-07 2024-04-19 2024-04-24 2024-05-11 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 2024-06-01 2024-06-17 2024-07-21 2024-08-02 2024-08-20 2024-08-27 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-21 2024-10-28 2024-11-22 2024-12-12 2025-09-27 2025-09-30 2025-10-05 2025-10-20 2025-11-05 2025-12-29 2026-05-21 2026-06-07 2026-06-25 2026-07-01 2026-07-14 2026-08-19 2026-09-03 2026-09-25 2026-09-28 2026-10-04 2022-04-25 2026-10-11 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 0 times 2 draws: 3 times 3 draws: 8 times 4 draws: 2 times 5 draws: 4 times 6 draws: 6 times 7 draws: 6 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 1 time 10 draws: 0 times 11 draws: 1 time 12 draws: 3 times 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 0 times 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 3 times 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 1 time 32 draws: 3 times 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 1 time 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 2 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 1 time 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 1 time 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 2 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 1 time 55 draws: 0 times 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 0 times 58 draws: 1 time 59 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 75 · chance 75.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 3 Every number number 5 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.