In Jackpot Triple Play under the 6/46 · Feb 2019 – Apr 2022 rules — 337 draws, 6 from 1–46 (an earlier era).
51times drawn · chance expected 44 +1.14σ
12draws waiting · a wait this long: 21% for any number
6.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.7
24longest completed wait · 87% chance of one at least that long
40 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 51 times in 337 draws against 44.0 expected, +1.14σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
40
Number 40, draw by draw
Drawn 51 times in 337 draws · average wait 6.5 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 12 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 45 numbers; chance expects about 0.2 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 46. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/46 tonight whatever it did last week.