In Jackpot Triple Play under the 6/46 · since May 2025 rules — 146 draws, 6 from 1–46.
15times drawn · chance expected 19 −0.99σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 76% for any number
9.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.7
23longest completed wait · 48% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 15 times in 146 draws against 19.0 expected, −0.99σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4
Number 4, draw by draw
Drawn 15 times in 146 draws · average wait 9.1 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 45 numbers; chance expects about 8 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 46. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/46 tonight whatever it did last week.