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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 8 February 2017

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 37
  4. 40
  5. 45
  6. 12

Jackpot$10,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 742 of 1,751 under them

← 2017-02-04All recent draws2017-02-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 37 40 45 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 February 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each

486times
1181times
3776times
4063times
45

Prize breakdown · 2017-02-08

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$402.1Kto 99k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball15%$61.9K
  • Match 331%$123.4K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$63.0K
  • 5 other tiers38%$153.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

83times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

1223times

Every number was expected about that many times after 741 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 37, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 May 2016 — its closest relative in 741 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 February 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$10,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.5 by chance$34,053
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball11≈ 12 by chance$1,547
  • Match 4282≈ 317 by chance$100
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball473≈ 500 by chance$53.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball6,192≈ 6.7k by chance$10.00
  • Match 311,216≈ 13k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball31,493≈ 33k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball49,433≈ 49k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,216 winners, 14% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$10,000,000
    Match 51$34,053
    Match 4 + Mega Ball11$1,547
    Match 4282$100
    Match 3 + Mega Ball473$53.00
    Match 311,216$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball6,192$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball31,493$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball49,433$1.00
    Totals99,101—