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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 4 February 2017

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 22
  5. 41
  6. 20

Jackpot$9,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 741 of 1,751 under them

← 2017-02-01All recent draws2017-02-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 15 18 22 41 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 February 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread64th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each

567times
15107times
1873times
2288times
41

Prize breakdown · 2017-02-04

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$423.1Kto 100k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 23lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$67.6K
  • Match 331%$132.1K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$64.3K
  • 5 other tiers38%$159.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

72times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

2022times

Every number was expected about that many times after 740 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 18, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 September 2015 — its closest relative in 740 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 February 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$9,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.4 by chance$36,551
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball10≈ 12 by chance$1,827
  • Match 4326≈ 302 by chance$93.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball475≈ 475 by chance$57.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball6,760≈ 6.3k by chance$10.00
  • Match 313,208≈ 12k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball32,133≈ 31k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball46,974≈ 47k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,208 winners, 7% more than the 12k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$9,000,000
    Match 51$36,551
    Match 4 + Mega Ball10$1,827
    Match 4326$93.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball475$57.00
    Match 313,208$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball6,760$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball32,133$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball46,974$1.00
    Totals99,887—