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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 19 August 2015

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 23
  3. 31
  4. 42
  5. 45
  6. 6

Jackpot$9,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 588 of 1,751 under them

← 2015-08-15All recent draws2015-08-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 23 31 42 45 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread83th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

555times
2359times
3156times
4264times
45

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-19

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$403.8Kto 97k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$67.3K
  • Match 329%$118.5K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$61.5K
  • 5 other tiers39%$156.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

70times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

621times

Every number was expected about that many times after 587 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 31, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 May 2015 — its closest relative in 587 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 August 2015): 45 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$9,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.5 by chance$35,406
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball18≈ 12 by chance$983
  • Match 4271≈ 305 by chance$108
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball407≈ 482 by chance$65.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball6,119≈ 6.4k by chance$11.00
  • Match 311,854≈ 13k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball30,763≈ 31k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball47,578≈ 48k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,854 winners, 5% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$9,000,000
    Match 51$35,406
    Match 4 + Mega Ball18$983
    Match 4271$108
    Match 3 + Mega Ball407$65.00
    Match 311,854$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball6,119$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball30,763$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball47,578$1.00
    Totals97,011—