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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 15 August 2015

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 21
  3. 27
  4. 30
  5. 45
  6. 3

Jackpot$8,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 587 of 1,751 under them

← 2015-08-12All recent draws2015-08-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 21 27 30 45 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap46th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

1453times
2162times
2755times
3058times
45

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$438.2Kto 109k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$71.8K
  • Match 329%$127.6K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$69.4K
  • 5 other tiers39%$169.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

69times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

323times

Every number was expected about that many times after 586 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 27, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 October 2011 — its closest relative in 586 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 August 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$8,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.6 by chance$18,856
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball11≈ 13 by chance$1,714
  • Match 4304≈ 343 by chance$103
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball503≈ 542 by chance$56.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball7,176≈ 7.2k by chance$10.00
  • Match 312,756≈ 14k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball34,677≈ 35k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball53,507≈ 54k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,756 winners, 9% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$8,000,000
    Match 52$18,856
    Match 4 + Mega Ball11$1,714
    Match 4304$103
    Match 3 + Mega Ball503$56.00
    Match 312,756$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball7,176$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball34,677$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball53,507$1.00
    Totals108,936—