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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 5 September 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 12
  4. 20
  5. 29
  6. 25

Jackpot$18,000,000

The crowdHeld 48% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 280 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-09-01All recent draws2012-09-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 12 20 29 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap10th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

519times
1024times
1229times
2026times
29

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-05

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$614.0Kto 155k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 21lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$100.5K
  • Match 330%$185.1K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$95.2K
  • 5 other tiers38%$233.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

28times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

2512times

Every number was expected about that many times after 279 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 10, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 April 2012 — its closest relative in 279 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 September 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

76

The numbers add up to 76 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$18,000,000
  • Match 54≈ 2.1 by chance$13,415
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball27≈ 17 by chance$993
  • Match 4828≈ 437 by chance$54.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball1,023≈ 689 by chance$39.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball11,171≈ 9.2k by chance$9.00
  • Match 326,446≈ 18k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball47,590≈ 45k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball68,041≈ 68k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Mega Ball — 1,023 winners, 49% more than the 689 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$18,000,000
    Match 54$13,415
    Match 4 + Mega Ball27$993
    Match 4828$54.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball1,023$39.00
    Match 326,446$7.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball11,171$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball47,590$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball68,041$1.00
    Totals155,130—