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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 1 September 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 17
  3. 31
  4. 42
  5. 47
  6. 13

Jackpot$17,000,000

The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 279 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-08-29All recent draws2012-09-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 17 31 42 47 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap39th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread51th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

1417times
1727times
3128times
4237times
47

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-01

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$656.3Kto 185k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$110.0K
  • Match 332%$209.7K
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball15%$95.8K
  • 5 other tiers37%$240.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

30times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

139times

Every number was expected about that many times after 278 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 31, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 May 2011 — its closest relative in 278 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 August 2012): 42 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$17,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.9 by chance$59,270
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball14≈ 24 by chance$2,116
  • Match 4437≈ 615 by chance$113
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball788≈ 970 by chance$56.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,996≈ 13k by chance$10.00
  • Match 319,068≈ 25k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball58,353≈ 63k by chance$1.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball95,819≈ 96k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 437 winners, 29% fewer than the 615 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$17,000,000
    Match 51$59,270
    Match 4 + Mega Ball14$2,116
    Match 4437$113
    Match 3 + Mega Ball788$56.00
    Match 319,068$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,996$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball58,353$1.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball95,819$1.00
    Totals185,476—