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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 25 August 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 7
  3. 11
  4. 15
  5. 38
  6. 4

Jackpot$15,000,000

The crowdHeld 35% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 277 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-08-22All recent draws2012-08-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 7 11 15 38 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread55th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

434times
734times
1132times
1542times
38

Prize breakdown · 2012-08-25

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$646.9Kto 157k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 22lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$108.5K
  • Match 331%$199.9K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$98.9K
  • 5 other tiers37%$239.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

23times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

45times

Every number was expected about that many times after 276 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 11, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 September 2011 — its closest relative in 276 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 August 2012): 4, 11 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$15,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.1 by chance$27,583
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball28≈ 17 by chance$985
  • Match 4624≈ 451 by chance$73.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball930≈ 712 by chance$44.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,848≈ 9.5k by chance$10.00
  • Match 324,990≈ 19k by chance$8.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball49,459≈ 46k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball70,321≈ 70k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 24,990 winners, 35% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$15,000,000
    Match 52$27,583
    Match 4 + Mega Ball28$985
    Match 4624$73.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball930$44.00
    Match 324,990$8.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,848$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball49,459$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball70,321$1.00
    Totals157,202—