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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 22 August 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 22
  4. 34
  5. 40
  6. 9

Jackpot$14,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 276 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-08-18All recent draws2012-08-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 22 34 40 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap25th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread64th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

433times
1131times
2231times
3434times
40

Prize breakdown · 2012-08-22

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$547.6Kto 156k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$93.5K
  • Match 331%$171.3K
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball14%$75.3K
  • 5 other tiers38%$207.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

915times

Every number was expected about that many times after 275 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 11, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 June 2010 — its closest relative in 275 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 August 2012): 4 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$14,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.3 by chance$51,219
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball18≈ 19 by chance$1,422
  • Match 4468≈ 484 by chance$91.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball782≈ 763 by chance$49.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,384≈ 10k by chance$9.00
  • Match 319,028≈ 20k by chance$9.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball49,817≈ 50k by chance$1.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball75,342≈ 75k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,028 winners, 4% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$14,000,000
    Match 51$51,219
    Match 4 + Mega Ball18$1,422
    Match 4468$91.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball782$49.00
    Match 319,028$9.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,384$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball49,817$1.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball75,342$1.00
    Totals155,840—