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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 23 May 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 19
  3. 26
  4. 30
  5. 34
  6. 13

Jackpot$20,000,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 250 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-05-19All recent draws2012-05-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 19 26 30 34 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 May 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum45th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap25th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

730times
1926times
2625times
3027times
34

Prize breakdown · 2012-05-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$659.2Kto 187k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$108.2K
  • Match 333%$215.1K
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball14%$90.4K
  • 5 other tiers37%$245.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

33times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

136times

Every number was expected about that many times after 249 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 26, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 April 2012 — its closest relative in 249 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 May 2012): 26 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$20,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.8 by chance$29,947
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball23≈ 22 by chance$1,302
  • Match 4471≈ 581 by chance$105
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball898≈ 915 by chance$50.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball12,027≈ 12k by chance$9.00
  • Match 321,505≈ 24k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball61,257≈ 60k by chance$1.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball90,449≈ 90k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 471 winners, 19% fewer than the 581 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$20,000,000
    Match 52$29,947
    Match 4 + Mega Ball23$1,302
    Match 4471$105
    Match 3 + Mega Ball898$50.00
    Match 321,505$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball12,027$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball61,257$1.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball90,449$1.00
    Totals186,632—