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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 19 May 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 26
  5. 46
  6. 2

Jackpot$18,000,000

The crowdHeld 6% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 249 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-05-16All recent draws2012-05-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 13 15 26 46 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 May 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread90th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

426times
1334times
1540times
2624times
46

Prize breakdown · 2012-05-19

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$706.9Kto 165k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 23lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$114.5K
  • Match 331%$219.9K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$104.0K
  • 5 other tiers38%$268.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

24times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

27times

Every number was expected about that many times after 248 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 15, 26, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 May 2011 — its closest relative in 248 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 3.4% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 May 2012): 15 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$18,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.4 by chance$61,832
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball13≈ 20 by chance$2,378
  • Match 4537≈ 508 by chance$95.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball774≈ 801 by chance$59.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,409≈ 11k by chance$11.00
  • Match 321,991≈ 21k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball52,004≈ 52k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball79,098≈ 79k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 537 winners, 6% more than the 508 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$18,000,000
    Match 51$61,832
    Match 4 + Mega Ball13$2,378
    Match 4537$95.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball774$59.00
    Match 321,991$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,409$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball52,004$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball79,098$1.00
    Totals164,827—