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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Fantasy 5 · draw
ResultFantasy 5
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/41 · since Mar 2011draw 3,859 of 5,243 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 December 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 470 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,858 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (13, 15, 38, 40) with the draw of 5 June 2012 — its closest relative in 3,858 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 December 2022): 38 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 127 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈70k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 557 winners, 5% fewer than the 584 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 0 | $363,000 |
| Match 4 with Doubler | 3 | $1,000 |
| Match 4 | 11 | $500 |
| Match 3 with Doubler | 47 | $10.00 |
| Match 3 | 510 | $5.00 |
| Match 2 with Doubler | 609 | $2.00 |
| Match 2 | 6,015 | $1.00 |
| Totals | 7,195 | — |