Sunday, 12 April 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 20, 32, 33) with the draw of 7 November 2017 — its closest relative in 2,868 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 April 2020): 25, 33 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 122 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.