Monday, 4 June 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 4, 30, 40) with the draw of 14 May 2015 — its closest relative in 2,260 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 42% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 June 2018): 26 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 102 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.