Wednesday, 20 April 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 13, 15) with the draw of 18 March 2016 — its closest relative in 1,600 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 April 2016): 36 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 102 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.