Saturday, 2 February 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 20, 30) with the draw of 5 July 2012 — its closest relative in 596 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 February 2013): 1 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 118 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.