Monday, 16 May 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (6, 33) with the draw of 26 April 2011 — its closest relative in 61 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 May 2011): 31 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 139 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.