Thursday, 25 June 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 20, 33, 38) with the draw of 7 January 2016 — its closest relative in 2,426 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 June 2020): 20 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 132 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.