Number 15

In 2by2 under the 4/26 · since Nov 2022 rules — 1,377 draws, 4 from 1–26.

205times drawn · chance expected 212 −0.51σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 85% for any number

6.7average wait between appearances · chance says 6.5

37longest completed wait · 39% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 205 times in 1,377 draws against 211.8 expected, −0.51σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 205 times in 1,377 draws · average wait 6.7 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest21 · chance 14.7
2nd smallest67 · chance 68.6
3rd smallest88 · chance 89.2
4th smallest29 · chance 32.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 24.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

21 22 5 7 13 17

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 25 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 14th most popular of 26. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-28	9	1st	15 16 17 18
2026-08-19	2	1st	15 17 17 21
2026-08-17	4	3rd	1 10 15 16
2026-08-13	1	2nd	3 15 22 25
2026-08-12	3	3rd	2 10

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 4/26 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-03-24	10	2nd	2 15 16 21
2026-03-14	8	2nd	11 15 18 22
2026-03-06	0	3rd	6 13 15
2026-03-06	7	3rd	6 13 15
2026-02-27	8	3rd	1 8 15 22
2026-02-19	3	4th	2 2 11 15
2026-02-16	18	1st	15 23 24 26
2026-01-29	10	4th	7 9 12 15
2026-01-19	3	3rd	8 9 15 24
2026-01-16	20	4th	5 9 11 15
2025-12-27	4	3rd	1 12 15 23
2025-12-23	9	4th	5 7 9 15
2025-12-14	5	2nd	2 15 16 24
2025-12-09	9	2nd	5 15 17 19
2025-11-30	11	4th	4 10 10 15
2025-11-19	8	3rd	6 8 15 18
2025-11-11	13	3rd	4 10 15 19
2025-10-29	10	3rd	2 3 15 26
2025-10-19	5	3rd	7 10 15 20
2025-10-14	10	3rd	7 11 15 21
2025-10-04	7	3rd	2 14 15 17
2025-09-27	1	1st	15 16 17 18
2025-09-26	2	3rd	10 12 15 18
2025-09-24	14	3rd	8 14 15 18
2025-09-10	1	3rd	9 10 15 16
2025-09-09	7	2nd	2 15 22 25
2025-09-02	6	2nd	13 15 20 21
2025-08-27	6	2nd	5 15 21 22
2025-08-21	1	2nd	4 15 16 20
2025-08-20	20	3rd	5 7 15 21
2025-07-31	7	3rd	5 8 15 21
2025-07-24	2	3rd	3 8 15 21
2025-07-22	4	3rd	7 14 15 23
2025-07-18	2	3rd	7 10 15 19
2025-07-16	1	3rd	1 1 15 22
2025-07-15	2	4th	1 8 12 15
2025-07-13	5	3rd	5 7 15 18
2025-07-08	6	4th	5 9 13 15
2025-07-02	0	2nd	7 15 24
2025-07-02	17	2nd	7 15 24
2025-06-15	24	2nd	4 15 19 20
2025-05-22	1	4th	1 4 7 15
2025-05-21	1	2nd	13 15 18 23
2025-05-20	2	3rd	2 12 15 20
2025-05-18	1	3rd	3 6 15 21
2025-05-17	2	3rd	4 8 15 17
2025-05-15	4	2nd	1 15 19 22
2025-05-11	3	3rd	7 8 15 24
2025-05-08	13	2nd	4 15 17 21
2025-04-25	17	4th	7 12 13 15
2025-04-08	23	3rd	10 12 15 22
2025-03-16	6	3rd	9 14 15 21
2025-03-10	2	3rd	2 6 15 22
2025-03-08	2	2nd	5 15 20 21
2025-03-06	1	3rd	10 14 15 23
2025-03-05	10	3rd	6 13 15 24
2025-02-23	9	4th	1 2 5 15
2025-02-14	3	3rd	1 14 15 19
2025-02-11	9	4th	5 6 12 15
2025-02-02	8	3rd	7 11 15 24
2025-01-25	9	1st	15 18 22 26
2025-01-16	5	2nd	12 15 20 23
2025-01-11	3	3rd	4 12 15 20
2025-01-08	0	2nd	9 15 23
2025-01-08	14	2nd	9 15 23
2024-12-25	11	2nd	4 15 21 24
2024-12-14	5	1st	15 18 19 24
2024-12-09	4	3rd	8 10 15 20
2024-12-05	3	3rd	5 8 15 17
2024-12-02	1	2nd	3 15 23 24
2024-12-01	1	4th	3 5 9 15
2024-11-30	1	1st	15 20 23 26
2024-11-29	3	4th	9 11 14 15
2024-11-26	1	1st	15 16 19 24
2024-11-25	1	3rd	11 12 15 22
2024-11-24	4	3rd	1 5 15 23
2024-11-20	0	2nd	3 15 21
2024-11-20	2	2nd	3 15 21
2024-11-18	14	3rd	5 7 15 23
2024-11-04	15	3rd	4 9 15 22
2024-10-20	1	3rd	4 7 15 22
2024-10-19	2	3rd	3 5 15 17
2024-10-17	1	3rd	6 12 15 21
2024-10-16	2	2nd	12 15 17 19
2024-10-14	2	3rd	6 14 15 24
2024-10-12	3	3rd	13 13 15 22
2024-10-09	7	4th	6 7 12 15
2024-10-02	1	4th	1 6 13 15
2024-10-01	26	3rd	2 11 15 24
2024-09-05	2	4th	1 5 7 15
2024-09-03	14	2nd	5 15 23 24
2024-08-20	9	3rd	3 14 15 22
2024-08-11	3	3rd	9 13 15 18
2024-08-08	4	2nd	3 15 18 18
2024-08-04	3	4th	4 13 13 15
2024-08-01	16	3rd	6 13 15 20
2024-07-16	5	3rd	3 14 15 22
2024-07-11	3	3rd	13 13 15 22
2024-07-08	10	3rd	9 11 15 20
2024-06-28	4	2nd	5 15 22 23
2024-06-24	6	3rd	5 14 15 19
2024-06-18	9	3rd	3 14 15 24
2024-06-09	2	2nd	1 15 22 23
2024-06-07	3	4th	3 10 13 15
2024-06-04	1	1st	15 16 17 25
2024-06-03	10	2nd	8 15 18 24
2024-05-24	2	3rd	3 8 15 25
2024-05-22	1	2nd	2 15 21 26
2024-05-21	4	3rd	3 5 15 20
2024-05-17	2	3rd	7 9 15 18
2024-05-15	10	4th	5 6 11 15
2024-05-05	4	3rd	5 8 15 26
2024-05-01	3	1st	15 20 23 26
2024-04-28	3	2nd	12 15 17 18
2024-04-25	1	3rd	4 7 15 21
2024-04-24	2	2nd	7 15 26 26
2024-04-22	3	2nd	6 15 22 25
2024-04-19	1	3rd	9 9 15 16
2024-04-18	8	3rd	10 11 15 25
2024-04-10	6	2nd	5 15 19 26
2024-04-04	4	1st	15 21 24 26
2024-03-31	26	3rd	13 13 15 22
2024-03-05	13	2nd	14 15 18 22
2024-02-21	17	2nd	12 15 26 26
2024-02-04	10	3rd	1 5 15 21
2024-01-25	17	2nd	8 15 21 24
2024-01-08	1	3rd	4 12 15 16
2024-01-07	2	1st	15 16 23 24
2024-01-05	2	4th	3 6 7 15
2024-01-03	5	2nd	4 15 20 22
2023-12-29	4	3rd	6 8 15 21
2023-12-25	11	2nd	10 15 17 17
2023-12-14	3	2nd	11 15 16 22
2023-12-11	19	1st	15 22 23 25
2023-11-22	6	2nd	9 15 16 26
2023-11-16	5	4th	5 9 12 15
2023-11-11	22	2nd	10 15 22 24
2023-10-20	2	3rd	5 6 15 21
2023-10-18	23	2nd	11 15 16 25
2023-09-25	11	3rd	8 12 15 20
2023-09-14	10	3rd	4 13 15 18
2023-09-04	12	3rd	7 13 15 23
2023-08-23	4	3rd	3 11 15 17
2023-08-19	1	2nd	2 15 19 26
2023-08-18	9	4th	5 12 14 15
2023-08-09	3	2nd	7 15 17 18
2023-08-06	3	1st	15 21 23 24
2023-08-03	7	1st	15 21 24 25
2023-07-27	7	3rd	11 11 15 21
2023-07-20	3	2nd	9 15 16 23
2023-07-17	7	1st	15 18 25 26
2023-07-10	27	4th	6 13 14 15
2023-06-13	5	1st	15 16 21 26
2023-06-08	5	3rd	1 14 15 17
2023-06-03	2	4th	1 2 13 15
2023-06-01	9	2nd	1 15 19 24
2023-05-23	16	3rd	2 9 15 22
2023-05-07	4	2nd	4 15 22 22
2023-05-03	20	1st	15 17 18 23
2023-04-13	11	2nd	3 15 17 23
2023-04-02	1	1st	15 17 17 19
2023-04-01	12	1st	15 19 20 22
2023-03-20	6	2nd	11 15 17 19
2023-03-14	0	2nd	2 15 21
2023-03-14	5	2nd	2 15 21
2023-03-09	3	4th	2 4 12 15
2023-03-06	13	3rd	14 14 15 26
2023-02-21	1	3rd	2 14 15 16
2023-02-20	9	2nd	5 15 17 20
2023-02-11	8	2nd	7 15 19 21
2023-02-03	1	2nd	7 15 21 23
2023-02-02	10	2nd	14 15 21 22
2023-01-23	9	2nd	3 15 19 25
2023-01-14	1	3rd	2 13 15 17
2023-01-13	1	3rd	9 13 15 18
2023-01-12	1	4th	1 6 9 15
2023-01-11	13	3rd	13 14 15 20
2022-12-29	7	3rd	5 8 15 25
2022-12-22	9	3rd	3 3 15 19
2022-12-13	3	4th	8 8 13 15
2022-12-10	—	4th	10 13 14 15