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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 21 January 2026

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 13
  5. 14
  6. 40
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$5,333,333

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 1,279 of 1,352 under them

← 2026-01-17All recent draws2026-01-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 9 10 13 14 40 + 618 Oct 2026, 03:20 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 January 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

27oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

3183times
9184times
10214times
13200times
14

Prize breakdown · 2026-01-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$5.7Mto 16k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 276lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball1 winnerchance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 6 + Powerball94%NZ$5.3M
  • Match 4 + Powerball0.9%NZ$50.9K
  • Match 3 + Powerball3.6%NZ$202.6K
  • 3 other tiers1.6%NZ$93.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball1≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

176times
40197times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 128 of each

6117times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,278 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 10, 13, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 January 2019 — its closest relative in 1,278 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 January 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

89

The numbers add up to 89 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 13–14. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,333,333
  • Match 5 + Powerball25≈ 23 by chanceNZ$1,572
  • Match 4 + Powerball942≈ 950 by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball13,509≈ 14k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball56NZ$107
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,153NZ$42.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 942 winners, 1% fewer than the 950 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball1NZ$5,333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball25NZ$1,572
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball56NZ$107
    Match 4 + Powerball942NZ$54.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,153NZ$42.00
    Match 3 + Powerball13,509NZ$15.00
    Totals15,686—