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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 18 September 2024

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 8
  4. 19
  5. 34
  6. 37
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 1,139 of 1,352 under them

← 2024-09-14All recent draws2024-09-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 8 19 34 37 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 171 of each

1178times
5165times
8154times
19198times
34

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-18

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$355.1Kto 16k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$54.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball57%NZ$201.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$52.7K
  • 2 other tiers13%NZ$46K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

165times
37161times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 114 of each

3109times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,138 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 34, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 January 2020 — its closest relative in 1,138 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball23≈ 23 by chanceNZ$1,748
  • Match 4 + Powerball942≈ 945 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball13,446≈ 13k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball49NZ$119
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,352NZ$39.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 942 winners, 0% fewer than the 945 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball23NZ$1,748
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball49NZ$119
    Match 4 + Powerball942NZ$58.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,352NZ$39.00
    Match 3 + Powerball13,446NZ$15.00
    Totals15,812—