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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 30 September 2023

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 21
  3. 22
  4. 27
  5. 29
  6. 31
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$17,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 1,038 of 1,352 under them

← 2023-09-27All recent draws2023-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 21 22 27 29 31 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum62th
  • odd95th
  • low5th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 156 of each

1162times
21154times
22167times
27142times
29

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-30

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$704.2Kto 29k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 271lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$96.8K
  • Match 3 + Powerball53%NZ$370K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$100.8K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$136.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

166times
31158times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each

397times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,037 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 21, 22, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 November 2016 — its closest relative in 1,037 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2023): 27 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$17,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball48≈ 42 by chanceNZ$1,102
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,699≈ 1.7k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball24,664≈ 25k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$35,326
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball134NZ$97.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,653NZ$38.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,699 winners, 2% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$17,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$35,326
    Match 5 + Powerball48NZ$1,102
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball134NZ$97.00
    Match 4 + Powerball1,699NZ$57.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,653NZ$38.00
    Match 3 + Powerball24,664NZ$15.00
    Totals29,200—