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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 25 January 2023

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 12
  4. 18
  5. 24
  6. 30
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 967 of 1,352 under them

← 2023-01-21All recent draws2023-01-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 12 18 24 30 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each

5137times
11135times
12151times
18146times
24

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-25

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$370Kto 16k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 271lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball13%NZ$49.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball54%NZ$201K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball12%NZ$45.2K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$74.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

155times
30137times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 97 of each

799times

Every number was expected about that many times after 966 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 18, 24, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 September 2020 — its closest relative in 966 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball35≈ 23 by chanceNZ$801
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,096≈ 942 by chanceNZ$45.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball13,399≈ 13k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$20,617
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball52NZ$100
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,256NZ$36.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,096 winners, 16% more than the 942 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$20,617
    Match 5 + Powerball35NZ$801
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball52NZ$100
    Match 4 + Powerball1,096NZ$45.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,256NZ$36.00
    Match 3 + Powerball13,399NZ$15.00
    Totals15,840—