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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 11 May 2022

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 22
  3. 25
  4. 28
  5. 33
  6. 37
  7. 1

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 893 of 1,352 under them

← 2022-05-07All recent draws2022-05-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 22 25 28 33 37 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd79th
  • low1th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 134 of each

21133times
22143times
25135times
28127times
33

Prize breakdown · 2022-05-11

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$268.5Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball17%NZ$45.2K
  • Match 3 + Powerball53%NZ$141.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$41.6K
  • 2 other tiers15%NZ$40.1K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

121times
37124times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each

185times

Every number was expected about that many times after 892 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (21, 28, 33, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 August 2016 — its closest relative in 892 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 May 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball18≈ 16 by chanceNZ$1,942
  • Match 4 + Powerball707≈ 664 by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,443≈ 9.4k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball39NZ$131
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball924NZ$45.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 707 winners, 6% more than the 664 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball18NZ$1,942
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball39NZ$131
    Match 4 + Powerball707NZ$64.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball924NZ$45.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,443NZ$15.00
    Totals11,131—