LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇳🇿 0800 654 655all helplines →

Powerball · draw

Saturday, 25 December 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 5
  4. 11
  5. 12
  6. 38
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$15,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 854 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-12-22All recent draws2021-12-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 5 11 12 38 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 128 of each

1140times
3122times
5111times
11123times
12

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-25

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$935Kto 42k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 274lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$135.2K
  • Match 3 + Powerball57%NZ$534.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$128.5K
  • 3 other tiers15%NZ$137.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.30 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

129times
38113times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each

884times

Every number was expected about that many times after 853 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 11, 12) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 October 2016 — its closest relative in 853 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 December 2021): 12 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

70

The numbers add up to 70 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$15,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball63≈ 61 by chanceNZ$1,050
  • Match 4 + Powerball2,703≈ 2.5k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball35,615≈ 36k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$27,879
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball128NZ$119
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball3,133NZ$41.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 2,703 winners, 8% more than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$15,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$27,879
    Match 5 + Powerball63NZ$1,050
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball128NZ$119
    Match 4 + Powerball2,703NZ$50.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball3,133NZ$41.00
    Match 3 + Powerball35,615NZ$15.00
    Totals41,644—