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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 17 November 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 7
  3. 10
  4. 30
  5. 34
  6. 39
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$8,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 843 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-11-13All recent draws2021-11-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 7 10 30 34 39 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 November 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 126 of each

6124times
7126times
10137times
30121times
34

Prize breakdown · 2021-11-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$353.2Kto 15k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$57.1K
  • Match 3 + Powerball54%NZ$191.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$52.8K
  • 2 other tiers15%NZ$52.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

113times
39121times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 84 of each

982times

Every number was expected about that many times after 842 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 30, 34, 39) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 August 2019 — its closest relative in 842 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 November 2021): 6, 30, 39 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$8,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball27≈ 22 by chanceNZ$1,704
  • Match 4 + Powerball907≈ 896 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball12,741≈ 13k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$127
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,288NZ$41.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 907 winners, 1% more than the 896 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$8,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball27NZ$1,704
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$127
    Match 4 + Powerball907NZ$63.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,288NZ$41.00
    Match 3 + Powerball12,741NZ$15.00
    Totals15,011—