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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 20 October 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 4
  4. 7
  5. 19
  6. 31
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$42,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 835 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-10-16All recent draws2021-10-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 4 7 19 31 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 125 of each

2126times
3119times
4117times
7124times
19

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-20

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$43.6Mto 61k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball1 winnerchance said 0.43

Where the money went

  • Match 6 + Powerball97%NZ$42.2M
  • Match 4 + Powerball0.5%NZ$200.8K
  • Match 3 + Powerball1.8%NZ$769.3K
  • 4 other tiers0.9%NZ$391.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball1≈ 0.43 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

150times
31121times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each

980times

Every number was expected about that many times after 834 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 4, 7, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 October 2017 — its closest relative in 834 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 October 2021): 2, 7, 19 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

66

The numbers add up to 66 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 3–4. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$42,200,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball93≈ 87 by chanceNZ$1,108
  • Match 4 + Powerball3,718≈ 3.6k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball51,287≈ 51k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$39,075
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball279NZ$85.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball5,184NZ$36.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 3,718 winners, 3% more than the 3.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball1NZ$42,200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$39,075
    Match 5 + Powerball93NZ$1,108
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball279NZ$85.00
    Match 4 + Powerball3,718NZ$54.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball5,184NZ$36.00
    Match 3 + Powerball51,287NZ$15.00
    Totals60,564—