LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇳🇿 0800 654 655all helplines →

Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 13 October 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 19
  3. 21
  4. 28
  5. 30
  6. 39
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$30,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 833 of 1,350 under them

← 2021-10-09All recent draws2021-10-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 19 21 28 30 39 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 125 of each

5107times
19148times
21124times
28117times
30

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-13

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$946.8Kto 39k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$141.0K
  • Match 3 + Powerball52%NZ$496.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$128.2K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$180.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

119times
39119times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each

1069times

Every number was expected about that many times after 832 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 19, 21, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 January 2013 — its closest relative in 832 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2021): 5, 28 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$30,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball63≈ 56 by chanceNZ$1,155
  • Match 4 + Powerball2,274≈ 2.3k by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball33,119≈ 33k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$45,914
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball140NZ$116
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball3,052NZ$42.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 2,274 winners, 2% fewer than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$30,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$45,914
    Match 5 + Powerball63NZ$1,155
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball140NZ$116
    Match 4 + Powerball2,274NZ$62.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball3,052NZ$42.00
    Match 3 + Powerball33,119NZ$15.00
    Totals38,650—