LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇳🇿 0800 654 655all helplines →

Powerball · draw

Saturday, 21 August 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 14
  4. 18
  5. 23
  6. 24
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$11,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 818 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-08-18All recent draws2021-08-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 14 18 23 24 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd5th
  • low79th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 123 of each

4115times
12121times
14118times
18129times
23

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$11.9Mto 17k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 268lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball1 winnerchance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 6 + Powerball97%NZ$11.5M
  • Match 4 + Powerball0.5%NZ$55K
  • Match 3 + Powerball1.8%NZ$214.6K
  • 4 other tiers0.9%NZ$107.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball1≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

133times
24126times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each

778times

Every number was expected about that many times after 817 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 12, 18, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 June 2021 — its closest relative in 817 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 August 2021): 18, 23 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$11,500,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball31≈ 24 by chanceNZ$906
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,146≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball14,308≈ 14k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$24,720
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball73NZ$76.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,586NZ$31.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,146 winners, 14% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball1NZ$11,500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$24,720
    Match 5 + Powerball31NZ$906
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball73NZ$76.00
    Match 4 + Powerball1,146NZ$48.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,586NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Powerball14,308NZ$15.00
    Totals17,146—