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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 21 July 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 7
  3. 28
  4. 29
  5. 33
  6. 38
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$15,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 809 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-07-17All recent draws2021-07-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 7 28 29 33 38 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 121 of each

5103times
7120times
28111times
29128times
33

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-21

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$508.9Kto 21k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$72.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball51%NZ$261.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$70.3K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$104.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

110times
38107times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each

377times

Every number was expected about that many times after 808 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 28, 33, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 July 2019 — its closest relative in 808 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 July 2021): 5 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$15,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball28≈ 30 by chanceNZ$1,316
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,210≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$60.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball17,459≈ 17k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$29,282
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball82NZ$107
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,802NZ$39.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,210 winners, 1% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$15,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$29,282
    Match 5 + Powerball28NZ$1,316
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball82NZ$107
    Match 4 + Powerball1,210NZ$60.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,802NZ$39.00
    Match 3 + Powerball17,459NZ$15.00
    Totals20,583—