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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 14 July 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 12
  3. 13
  4. 19
  5. 21
  6. 38
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$10,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 807 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-07-10All recent draws2021-07-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 12 13 19 21 38 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 121 of each

6118times
12120times
13117times
19144times
21

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-14

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$397.5Kto 18k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 274lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$61.2K
  • Match 3 + Powerball58%NZ$230K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$56.7K
  • 2 other tiers12%NZ$49.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

119times
38106times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each

881times

Every number was expected about that many times after 806 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 12, 21, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 October 2019 — its closest relative in 806 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 July 2021): 19 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$10,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball25≈ 26 by chanceNZ$1,724
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,155≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball15,332≈ 15k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball58NZ$111
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,384NZ$41.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,155 winners, 7% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$10,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball25NZ$1,724
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball58NZ$111
    Match 4 + Powerball1,155NZ$53.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,384NZ$41.00
    Match 3 + Powerball15,332NZ$15.00
    Totals17,954—