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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 21 April 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 18
  3. 23
  4. 33
  5. 37
  6. 38
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 783 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-04-17All recent draws2021-04-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 18 23 33 37 38 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 117 of each

1134times
18122times
23126times
33108times
37

Prize breakdown · 2021-04-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$321.5Kto 13k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 276lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$45.8K
  • Match 3 + Powerball51%NZ$164.4K
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$45.6K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$65.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

111times
38100times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

775times

Every number was expected about that many times after 782 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 18, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 January 2021 — its closest relative in 782 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 April 2021): 1 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball12≈ 19 by chanceNZ$1,562
  • Match 4 + Powerball776≈ 770 by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball10,958≈ 11k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$22,789
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$117
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball940NZ$44.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 776 winners, 1% more than the 770 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$22,789
    Match 5 + Powerball12NZ$1,562
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$117
    Match 4 + Powerball776NZ$59.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball940NZ$44.00
    Match 3 + Powerball10,958NZ$15.00
    Totals12,736—