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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 24 March 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 13
  3. 17
  4. 20
  5. 27
  6. 33
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$4,250,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 775 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-03-20All recent draws2021-03-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 13 17 20 27 33 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 116 of each

2119times
13113times
17127times
20121times
27

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-24

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$4.5Mto 13k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 274lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball1 winnerchance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 6 + Powerball94%NZ$4.3M
  • Match 4 + Powerball1.0%NZ$44.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball3.7%NZ$166.8K
  • 3 other tiers1.7%NZ$77.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball1≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

104times
33105times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

879times

Every number was expected about that many times after 774 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 17, 27, 33) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 April 2012 — its closest relative in 774 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 March 2021): 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,250,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball18≈ 19 by chanceNZ$1,751
  • Match 4 + Powerball860≈ 782 by chanceNZ$52.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball11,119≈ 11k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball41NZ$122
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball961NZ$43.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 860 winners, 10% more than the 782 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball1NZ$4,250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball18NZ$1,751
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball41NZ$122
    Match 4 + Powerball860NZ$52.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball961NZ$43.00
    Match 3 + Powerball11,119NZ$15.00
    Totals13,000—