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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 6 March 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 11
  4. 17
  5. 18
  6. 35
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 770 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-03-03All recent draws2021-03-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 11 17 18 35 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 115 of each

1129times
6108times
11111times
17124times
18

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-06

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$401.2Kto 17k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$62.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball56%NZ$223.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$58.7K
  • 2 other tiers14%NZ$57K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

121times
35123times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

971times

Every number was expected about that many times after 769 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 11, 17, 18) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 September 2020 — its closest relative in 769 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 March 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

88

The numbers add up to 88 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball33≈ 25 by chanceNZ$1,513
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,074≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball14,885≈ 15k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball61NZ$116
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,431NZ$41.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,074 winners, 3% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball33NZ$1,513
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball61NZ$116
    Match 4 + Powerball1,074NZ$58.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,431NZ$41.00
    Match 3 + Powerball14,885NZ$15.00
    Totals17,484—