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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 30 December 2020

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 9
  4. 24
  5. 26
  6. 28
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 751 of 1,352 under them

← 2020-12-26All recent draws2021-01-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 9 24 26 28 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 113 of each

2116times
598times
9109times
24117times
26

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-30

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$289.7Kto 13k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$45.1K
  • Match 3 + Powerball56%NZ$163.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$42.1K
  • 2 other tiers14%NZ$39.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

111times
28107times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

1062times

Every number was expected about that many times after 750 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 9, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 August 2020 — its closest relative in 750 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

94

The numbers add up to 94 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball21≈ 19 by chanceNZ$1,631
  • Match 4 + Powerball791≈ 766 by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball10,888≈ 11k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball44NZ$112
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,053NZ$40.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 791 winners, 3% more than the 766 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball21NZ$1,631
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball44NZ$112
    Match 4 + Powerball791NZ$57.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,053NZ$40.00
    Match 3 + Powerball10,888NZ$15.00
    Totals12,797—